Despite optimism from Kyiv, international military experts remain skeptical about Ukraine's chances of taking back Kherson in the foreseeable future.
"It's total isolation and constant surveillance, comparable to a concentration camp. Russian patrols and checkpoints are everywhere. There is military hardware in residential districts, and friends tell me that the shooting has only intensified. We just want the Ukrainian Armed Forces to liberate the area as soon as possible," she said.
"Russian forces have spent the past several months strengthening their positions in and around the city," Konaev said."They aren't going to withdraw unless they're absolutely forced to, and the amount of firepower it would take to do that could make the city almost unlivable." George Barros of the Institute for the Study of War created a map showing Russia's supply lines in Kherson region."It's possible that HIMARS and similar Western systems could make a decisive difference in the coming months, but given that Russian artillery will be shooting back at them from positions in residential areas, it's likely a significant amount of urban infrastructure would be destroyed as part of any Ukrainian offensive," Barros said.
In addition to the physical destruction that Kherson would suffer in any battle for control of the city, a Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south would leave Ukraine increasingly vulnerable in the east and north.
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