“Start your studs,” they say. “Go with what got you here,” you often hear. “Don’t overthink it” is thoughtful advice.
By “they” we mean “we,” since these are tropes/rules/habits to which the Madman often conforms and routinely recommends. And it makes sense, because they normally are the smart thing to do.
So why is the Madman considering benching Nick Chubb in fantasy championship week? Over the entire season, Chubb ranks as the seventh-best running back. That’s a stud. He is delivering 16.5 in PPR each week, so he is one of the ones who helped get you here. So why are we overthinking it? That’s right. Since Week 11, he is averaging just 11.2 per week in PPR. That isn’t great. But it gets worse. That ranking and average include a 20.2 breakout game against the Buccaneers in Week 12. Remove that one anomaly, and Chubb has averaged just 9.4 in the other five games in that span.
But it gets worse. In this span, his fantasy company in this range is along the lines of Tyler Allgeier, Brian Robinson, Chuba Hubbard, Zonovan Knight, James Cooks. Now these are not all bad players. As we’ve seen, they all can post decent fantasy weeks. But they don’t do it reliably. And that is the realm Chubb has been in recently.
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