Iran has used the killing to rally support at home and abroad, but now has to walk the tightrope between underwhelming its allies and provoking an all-out war.
It's been less than two weeks since the assassination of Qasem Soleimani, commander of Iran's elite Quds force, and he already looks set to reshape regional politics in death as much he had in life—if not more so.
Paradoxically, however, these displays of hyper-nationalism and defiance only further aggravates the regime's dilemmas. Senior Iranian officials have also delivered high-pitched speeches, promising revenge. This has in return created a level of expectations amongst the people that can't be met without Iran inviting a further major counter-response from the US, which can only generate an escalation spiral. The way that Iran has launched missile attacks on the U.S.
Iranian disillusionment with Europe is palpable. Reflecting this growing frustration with the EU, a high-ranking Iranian official, speaking at a conference in Tehran, contended that if Europe wants to pursue any containment policy, it should be geared towards theU.S.hegemonic power projection and its president Trump, rather than Iran. Irrespective of Iranian indignation, it's anticipated asymmetric response will define whether the gap between Europe and theU.S.
Fourth, perception and image matter. In recent years, the image that Russia has cultivated for itself through its role in Syria opened the gates for new forms of relations and for new opportunities Similarly, Iran's image of being a formidable and reliable regional power has motivated many to seek better relations with Tehran and to be more accommodating towards its interests and concerns.
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