Vladimir Putin’s war gives President Biden a chance to change perceptions of his supposedly weak leadership, particularly if he takes full advantage of a State of the Union address likely to be widely watched and discussed. ed_kilgore writes
Joe Biden doesn’t seem so sleepy in addressing Russia’s aggression in Ukraine. Photo: Kent Nishimura/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images From the objective point of view of public-opinion research, Joe Biden approaches his first official State of the Union address on Tuesday night in a slough of despond. An ABC–Washington Post survey released over the weekend placed his job approval ratio at a wretched 37–55 percent, with 44 percent strongly disapproving.
Without question, Biden’s poor job-approval numbers reflect dim assessments of both his international and his domestic stewardship, as FiveThirtyEight’s Nathanial Rakich explains: Perceptions of Biden’s handling of world affairs took a big hit after the messy U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, and they haven’t recovered. But if — and this is a big if — the combination of Ukrainian resistance, U.S./European assistance, and Western sanctions on Russia continues to frustrate Vladimir Putin’s imperialist designs, and if — an even bigger if — Biden emerges as Ukraine’s best friend and Putin’s biggest nightmare, then all bets could be off, at least for a while.
This could be the needle Biden has to thread, since Americans overwhelmingly want Ukrainian independence to survive, but without U.S. troop involvement. If that appears to be happening, even temporarily, Biden will almost certainly get some of the credit, particularly from the Democrats whose support for him has been lagging lately, and from the independents, who turned sour on his presidency some time ago.
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