Here are our picks for Cowboys vs. Eagles, which kicks off Saturday at 4:25 p.m. ET on Fox.
What originally profiled as one of the best matchups of the entire NFL season is shaping up to be much less compelling with Hurts ruled out for Saturday’s contest. But his injury doesn’t entirely reshape the betting approach for this game.
Before news of his injury, Philadelphia presented as an excellent value as a short road underdog. The Eagles have been arguably the best team all season long, as evidenced by their league-best point differential and elite marks in DVOA and net yards per play , and they’ve been favored in all 14 of their games to this point.
They also match up well with their division rivals, who have struggled to overcome mediocre competition in the last two weeks. The Cowboys are at their best when controlling the run game offensively, but Philly has shored up its run defense over the last month. That’ll force Dallas to win through the air, which could prove problematic – Dak Prescott has thrown seven interceptions over his last four starts, and the Eagles lead the league in interceptions .
Clearly, Philly’s offense is most dangerous with the dual-threat Hurts leading the way, but Minshew is no slouch. He posted a solid 60.6 QBR in four appearances last season for the Eagles, and he averaged 240.4 yards with 37 touchdowns to just 11 interceptions in two years as a mostly full-time starter in Jacksonville.
He’s also flanked by arguably the best offensive line in football and one of the best skill-position groups in the league. Receivers A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith rank fifth and 17th in receiving yards, respectively, while Miles Sanders ranks in the top five among all running backs in rushing yards , rushing touchdowns and yards per carry .
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