China unlikely to play peacemaker role in Ukraine war, Western officials and experts say

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China unlikely to play peacemaker role in Ukraine war, Western officials and experts say
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Beijing tends to play it safe in its diplomacy and remains reluctant to pressure Moscow, foreign diplomats and former U.S. officials say.

China's position on the Ukraine conflict "is consistent and clear," said Liu Pengyu, spokesperson for the Chinese Embassy in Washington.

"There's no question that they are becoming incrementally more ambitious in their diplomacy as they are in many other areas of world affairs," said Jacob Stokes, who served in the Obama administration on the national security staff of then-Vice President Biden. "The question is, how ambitious and what costs and burdens are they willing to carry?" said Stokes, now a senior fellow for the Indo-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security think tank.

"If you're going to be a mediator, you have to put a lot more stake into the success of the negotiation, rather than simply creating a venue for people to talk," Cha said. China's interests on North Korea were not in sync with the U.S. or its allies, Medeiros said. "I think ultimately with Russia, we're going to find the same thing."

Some Western officials said China could have a more limited, but useful, part to play in encouraging Russia to hold cease-fire talks, without necessarily negotiating detailed proposals or pressing Moscow to make compromises.

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