Gov. Tom Wolf announced last week that his administration had finalized a regulation to join the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative
The Northeast’s cap-and-trade program has installed its keystone. Now, the question is how long it will stay in place.
The coming election—and whether Pennsylvania’s participation in RGGI survives it—will serve as a political litmus test for carbon pricing programs in the United States, said Barry Rabe, a professor who studies state climate action at the University of Michigan. Yet RGGI has continued to expand in recent years, reintroducing New Jersey to its ranks and adding Virginia to the program. Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, a Republican, has pledged to withdraw Virginia from RGGI but has been unable to overcome opposition from Senate Democrats in Richmond.
The state’s grid has changed substantially in recent years. Where coal accounted for 30 percent of the state’s electricity generation as recently as 2015, it only provided 10 percent of the state’s power in 2020. Coal has largely been replaced by natural gas, which generated 52 percent of Pennsylvania’s power in 2020.
Under the RGGI regulation finalized by the Department of Environmental Protection, Pennsylvania’s power-sector emissions would fall from 78 million tons this year to 58 million tons in 2030. State officials said power plants could join the program as soon as July. A coalition of Republican lawmakers, coal and gas interests, and unions have fought Pennsylvania’s embrace of cap and trade. They have blasted the program as a boondoggle that would add to consumers’ electric bills and jeopardize the reliability of the grid—all while failing to reduce emissions.
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