Democratic candidates, their supporters and some experts argue that there is a path to victory for a Democrat in City Council District 12.
Jesse Alson-Milkman, 37, from left, Ian Carr, 28, and Brooke Jacobovitz, 25, canvass for L.A. City Council candidate Loraine Lundquist in Granada Hills on May 11.
With more than a dozen people competing in the June election — and splitting what is expected to be a relatively small number of votes — many Democratic candidates are hopeful that they could snag at least a second-place finish and secure a spot in the August runoff. But whether a Democrat could actually win this Valley seat is an open question.“It is a remote possibility. Very remote,” said Larry Levine, a political consultant who is not representing any candidates in the race.
“This whole group of people that volunteered for Katie Hill and were excited about flipping it — people are feeling that energy all over,” Carr said. But candidates have nonetheless been asked at community forums about some politically polarized issues, such as whether they support Medicare for all and recognizing L.A. as a so-called sanctuary city. Some of the residents showing up at those forums fall to the right of any of the Democratic candidates up on stage.“The left is trying to ram things down our throat,” said Rachael Catran, a North Hills voter who attended a forum at a Porter Ranch school.
Others believe that partisanship could actually help Democrats in the campaign. Political consultant Mac Zilber, who was working with Democratic candidate Serena Oberstein before she was disqualified in the council race, argued that as the country has become more politically polarized, Democrats are less likely to vote for a Republican in a local race than in the past.
Voter turnout is also likely to be low in a special election with no national race on the ballot, which traditionally means that the voters who show up will beDemocratic candidates have nonetheless argued that, with low turnout and lots of candidates, a Democrat could eke out a spot in the runoff by mobilizing enough supporters.
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