The president said he had “no confidence” in the figures issued by the Hamas-run health ministry, but it has a good track record on reporting death tolls.
“I have no notion that the Palestinians are telling the truth about how many people are killed. I’m sure innocents have been killed, and it’s the price of waging a war. … I have no confidence in the number that the Palestinians are using.”In any war, statistics on deaths are fuzzy and subject to change.
With any numbers, there are caveats. Questions have also been raised about the ministry’s statistics after a still-murky incident at the al-Ahli Hospital was said to have killed nearly 500 people. So let’s explore whether Biden’s opinion of the statistics has a factual basis.Abbas said the ministry primarily relies on death certificates from hospitals and morgues in compiling its daily counts of the number of dead in the conflict, which is then collected in a computerized system.
OCHA, when it does its own post-conflict reports, seeks to determine the percentage of combatants. After a 2012 clash, for instance, OCHA1,431 names listed by the ministry as being killed in a war with Israel that year. The newspaper found that the population most likely to be militants, men ages 20 to 29, was the most overrepresented in the death toll. That population represented 9 percent of Gaza’s residents but 34 percent of those killed.
But almost immediately after the attack — about two hours — news organizations began to report that a ministry spokesman had said 500 people were killed. The speed of the estimate called into question its accuracy.using an Arabic word suggesting casualties, which could include those injured. Confusingly, another post referred to “500 victims falling,” which could mean dead.
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