Are more moderate Democrats more electable? NateSilver538 examines:
Polls are included if they were still in the field when Biden entered the race on April 25. If a pollster asked about a candidate multiple times, only the most recent poll was used. Polls included in the average include YouGov , CNN/SSRS , Gallup , Rasmussen Reports , HarrisX / Harris Interactive and Quinnipiac . Not all pollsters asked about all of the candidates, but each candidate was included in at least 2 polls.
voters. There’s no particular advantage to overperforming with college-educated voters; almost 65 percent of voters in the 2016 Democratic primaries didhave a four-year college degree. But doing well with high-information voters is usually a bullish sign. These voters are more likely to judge the candidates on factors beyond name recognition, and so may be leading indicators for how other voters will view the race once they’ve acquired more information.
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