Analysis: Not only are voters rejecting the GOP's plan to raise the ballot measure threshold to 60 percent, but the abortion rights amendment might have cleared that threshold anyway.
It turns out that not only do voters overwhelmingly oppose changing the rules for amending the state constitution, but also that the abortion rights measure might have gotten to 60 percent anyway.
Even Republicans are about evenly divided on State Issue 1, with 38 percent supporting it and 41 percent opposing it. But for now, it seems as if a strong majority of Ohioans support the amendment — perhaps even enough to pass it if State Issue 1 were to somehow succeed. And many who oppose it don’t like the idea of diluting direct democracy to the extent necessary to get what they want.
A 58 percent showing in Ohio would be in line with all of that. Michigan is swingier than Ohio, but it’s also a neighboring state sharing many of the same political characteristics. And Kansas and Kentucky are redder, meaning it wouldn’t seem inconceivable that support would be higher in Ohio.
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