Analysis: The Iran nuclear deal hangs by a thread
According to analysts, Iranian officials are furious not just at the United States, which first abrogated the terms of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action — the formal name for the nuclear deal — by reimposing sanctions on the country. They also have grown frustrated and impatient with the Europeans, who have failed to deliver meaningful financial relief to Tehran as Washington chokes off Iranian energy exports.That hasn't gotten it anywhere-and it never will.
“By initiating the dispute mechanism, the Western European signatories begin a process within the deal that could result in a ‘snapback’ of U.N. sanctions, although officials made clear that such an outcome is not their current intention,” . “Instead, they appear to hope that triggering the process could help bring Iran back in line with its commitments under the 2015 agreement, which Tehran negotiated with the United States, Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China.”But there’s a significant chance things don’t go according to plan. “Under the dispute resolution mechanism, countries have 30 days to resolve their problem, though that can be extended,”. “If it cannot be solved, the matter could be brought before the U.N.
“It’s a double-edged sword,” Ali Vaez, an Iran expert at the International Crisis Group, told Today’s WorldView, referring to the European action. “In one way, it creates time and space for the remaining parties to the deal to try to salvage it.” But, he added, the real possibility of diplomatic failure and the return of U.N. sanctions would force the agreement’s ultimate collapse.
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