There are signs in our politics and our society that South Africa is perhaps entering a period of relative calm — although the keyword is still “relative”. It is unlikely that the country will go back to the period before 2010 for many years.
A series of developments within South African politics and our society may indicate that in some, perhaps counter-intuitive, ways the political temperature is about to decrease.
Although there are many categories in which events can be placed, sometimes it is possible to put them into two very broad categories: those that can be predicted; and those that cannot. So, it now appears that some of the major processes that create divisions are now complete, which may reduce the scope for more political conflict in the future:The new Chief Justice has been appointed.Within the ANC, perhaps the temperature is also lower than some would have predicted at this point in a leadership election year.
Both Cosatu and the SACP publicly support Ramaphosa; the ANC Youth League is yet to have a conference, and the ANC Women’s League appears to be almost a spent political force, with its leader collecting two convictions for dishonesty. Or perhaps an ill-advised advertising campaign or a sporting event, like the furore over cricketer Quinton de Kock’s refusal to “take the knee” did.
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