Analysis: How bad the 2022 election was for the GOP, historically speaking
As we’ve emphasized many times, midterms arelikely grab a narrow majority in the House
In that same timespan, the opposition party on average has gained nearly 30 House seats — though the average since 1994 has only been 25. As things stand, Republicans have gained around a half-dozen seats, according to race calls from the Associated Press. The opposition party has failed to gain double-digit House seats just seven times in the past 25 midterms.
Only once in the past 100 years has the opposition party lost both Senate seats and governor’s mansions: 1934. Republicans could feasibly do that. What’s more, the GOP is also likely to lose ground in terms of the raw number of state legislative seats — something that has happened only twice in the past 100 years.
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