4 surprising facts about China’s new mystery illness

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4 surprising facts about China’s new mystery illness
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Everything we know about the coronavirus so far:

Cases of a mysterious new virus doubled over the weekend in China and have spread not only to first-tier Chinese cities but as far as Japan, Thailand and South Korea, raising fears that thousands more may be infected than currently reported.

A decade later, the related Middle East Respiratory Syndrome, or MERS, spread through Saudi Arabia, and, though fewer people were infected, the death rate was an alarming 35%, the WHO estimates. We’ve just learned that the virus can be spread from people to people: Though we know dangerously little about the disease, a leading Chinese scientist said that the country’s health authorities now believe the virus can be spread between humans.

This significantly raises a virus’s contagiousness compared to animal-to-human transmissibility alone, experts said. We have no idea how many people have contracted the virus: Last week, when China had reported only 44 cases of the disease, a team at the Imperial College of London ran statistical models to estimate the likely total number of cases, taking into account travel in and out of Wuhan, what we know about the disease so far, and what we learned from the spread of SARS and MERS. The London team’s final estimate was 1,723 as of Jan. 12.

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