President Trump's positive COVID-19 test is likely to heighten the salience of an issue that Joe Biden owns
It’s like you’re always stuck in second gear, when it hasn’t been your day, your week, your month, or even your year. Photo: Joshua Roberts/Getty Images It’s been a big news year.
If 2020 has taught us anything, it’s that the future isn’t ours to see. So take the following speculation with a full shaker of salt. But to the extent that the president’s illness influences the campaign, it seems more likely to increase the margin of Biden’s victory than to lift Trump back into contention, for these three reasons:
But for the Trump campaign, the problem isn’t merely the heightened salience of the virus that their champion has failed to contain. The issue is also that the president’s infection is liable to lend credence to the idea that he’s mishandled the public-health crisis, for reasons both fair and not.
This action — in its blithe contempt for public-health best practices, reckless optimism, and malign indifference to the well-being of others — is a perfect microcosm for Trump’s broader pandemic management. As such, it confirms every attack Biden has leveled against Trump’s COVID leadership, and does so in a manner that is easily, viscerally understandable for Americans with no expertise in epidemiology.
3) There is little reason to believe Trump will enjoy a “sympathy surge.” One counter to the idea that Trump’s illness will hurt his political prospects is that the public will view an ailing president in a kinder light — after all, across the pond, Boris Johnson seemed to enjoy a surge of popularity as he was battling a severe case of COVID.
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