This year is increasingly likely to become the hottest year on record, due to a rapidly strengthening El Niño weather pattern and unprecedentedly hot summer.
“In each case the source of the data and the processing is different, but all will be reasonable reflections of what is actually happening. It’s hot,” Gavin Schmidt, Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, tweeted.
The beginning of the year started out cold, and models showed uncertainty in the developing El Niño event. As the year progressed, the forecasts became refined with more data, including warmer monthly temperatures and updated El Niño models. Some forecasts weigh these elements differently, which produces different forecasts, but all are increasingly pointing to an unprecedented 2023.
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